Sunrise on the Reaping heats up: Deadline floors it at $80M+ as Wicked-beating presales roll in
By Fuzzy Mushroom · Published
Lionsgate's 20 November Hunger Games prequel just jumped a gear. Deadline now puts the domestic opening floor at $80 million-plus — up from last weekend's $60 million–$70 million read — after hearing Sunrise on the Reaping's advance tickets are ahead of Universal's Wicked and the studio's strongest post-Covid presales (beating even Michael's $97.2 million bow). Box Office Theory's 6 November five-week table still pins a $116 million three-day with a $105 million–$140 million range, so the gap has narrowed but the bull case hasn't cooled.
Eighty as the floor, a hundred-plus on the table — how high are you buying Sunrise before 20 November?
How solid is this story?
Spore Score for the story: 65 (Likely true). Status: Not confirmed yet. Trades confirm: Deadline box-office update on presales; Box Office Theory 6 Nov five-week forecast.
The films
- The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes (2023): Spore Score 62, The Pros 62 vs The Punters 62
Coming up
- The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping is out 20 November 2026.
Sources
- Deadline: 'Hunger Games: Sunrise On The Reaping' Getting Hot With $80M+ Opening Floor, Presales Ahead Of 'Wicked' – Box Office Update (6 November 2026)
- Box Office Theory: 5-Week Box Office Forecasts: Depp's EBENEZER Trending Up, HUNGER GAMES Still Looking to Reap $100M+, and a Thanksgiving Check-In (6 November 2026)
- Deadline: 'Hunger Games: Sunrise On The Reaping' Looks Sunny On Tracking For $60M+ Opening (29 October 2026)
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